we've got a new poll coming out of ohio, 49-49, razor tight before the final debate. take a moment here to take us through how each side thinks they win the state. >> the joke is there are five, it's five states within one state. the five ohios. let me take you through basically the romney pattern here. which is run up the score in coal country, that's what bush did in '04, and win the swing areas of columbus media market, an '04 bush territory. was '08 obama. and win hamilton county. for the president, run up the score in cleveland, cuyahoga county and overperform with working-class white guys in the auto belt, if you will, the toledo area. if you're looking at one county that may tell us more than anything, david, you sit over here and we're going to take you to hamilton county. look at this. it's as easy of a swing county as it is, bush carried it in '04. by 22,000 votes. obama carried it by 30,000 votes there. it's why mitt romney spent a lot of time in cincinnati this week. >> as hamilton county goes, perhaps so ohio goes. let's turn to governor of ohio, john kas